Högskolan i Skövde

his.sePublications
Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • apa-cv
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Exploring futures through science fiction: A scenario-based PESTLE analysis of award-winning SF novels
University of Skövde, School of Business. University of Skövde, Organising for Sustainable Development Research Environment. (Strategy, Flexibility, Entrepreneurship & Resilience)ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9579-3266
School of Business, Örebro University, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9448-2359
School of Business, Örebro University, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5658-8868
2025 (English)In: Futures: The journal of policy, planning and futures studies, ISSN 0016-3287, E-ISSN 1873-6378, Vol. 172, no September 2025, article id 103647Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This article extends the exploration of potential futures as envisioned in science fiction (SF) literature by analyzing how emerging trends are portrayed through a structured analytical framework. Specifically, it examines award-winning SF novels, focusing on political, economic, social, technological, legal, and environmental (PESTLE) dimensions as imagined by prominent authors within the genre. Thus, the purpose of the article is to provide an overview of emerging trends and tendencies within imagined futures as depicted in acclaimed SF literature, framed through the lens of PESTLE analysis. To this end, four future scenarios were extrapolated from a selection of 42 novels that have either won or been nominated for major SF awards—the Nebula and the Hugo. These scenarios are: Solar System Expansion, Cyber High-Tech Future, Post-Contraction Society, and Dystopian Future. Each scenario is assessed according to its political, economic, social, technological, legal, and environmental characteristics.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2025. Vol. 172, no September 2025, article id 103647
Keywords [en]
Science fiction, SF, Future scenarios, Scenario building, PESTLE
National Category
Studies of Specific Literatures Other Social Sciences Social and Economic Geography
Research subject
Strategy, Flexibility, Entrepreneurship & Resilience (SFERE)
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:his:diva-25471DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2025.103647ISI: 001525823900001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105009587965OAI: oai:DiVA.org:his-25471DiVA, id: diva2:1983229
Note

CC BY 4.0

Corresponding author: D. Brozović, School of Business, University of Skövde, Högskolevägen 8, Skövde, SE-541 28, Sweden. Email address: danilo.brozovic@his.se

Available from: 2025-07-10 Created: 2025-07-10 Last updated: 2026-05-21Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

fulltext(778 kB)341 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT01.pdfFile size 778 kBChecksum SHA-512
a5f1d51d547b651c0e049881fe2c0bbd664c0aeb2de33921097b606c3b93108ed3f9435e7355305e5aaa7752576e1543b2b4a2e02f2a355bd06b00debaf499f9
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

Other links

Publisher's full textScopus

Authority records

Brozović, Danilo

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Brozović, DaniloCarlborg, PerHasche, Nina
By organisation
School of BusinessOrganising for Sustainable Development Research Environment
In the same journal
Futures: The journal of policy, planning and futures studies
Studies of Specific LiteraturesOther Social SciencesSocial and Economic Geography

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Total: 346 downloads
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 341 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • apa-cv
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf