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Impact of information exchange on supplier forecasting performance
Lancaster University, Department of Management Science, United Kingdom.
Lancaster University, Department of Management Science, United Kingdom.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0211-5218
Lancaster University, Department of Management Science, United Kingdom.
2012 (English)In: Omega: The International Journal of Management Science, ISSN 0305-0483, E-ISSN 1873-5274, Vol. 40, no 6, p. 738-747Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Forecasts of demand are crucial to drive supply chains and enterprise resource planning systems. Usually, well-known univariate methods that work automatically such as exponential smoothing are employed to accomplish such forecasts. The traditional Supply Chain relies on a decentralized system where each member feeds its own Forecasting Support System (FSS) with incoming orders from direct customers. Nevertheless, other collaboration schemes are also possible, for instance, the Information Exchange framework allows demand information to be shared between the supplier and the retailer. Current theoretical models have shown the limited circumstances where retailer information is valuable to the supplier. However, there has been very little empirical work carried out. Considering a serially linked two-level supply chain, this work assesses the role of sharing market sales information obtained by the retailer on the supplier forecasting accuracy. Weekly data from a manufacturer and a major UK grocery retailer have been analyzed to show the circumstances where information sharing leads to improved forecasting accuracy. Without resorting to unrealistic assumptions, we find significant evidence of benefits through information sharing with substantial improvements in forecast accuracy. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2012. Vol. 40, no 6, p. 738-747
Keywords [en]
Bullwhip effect, Forecasting, Neural Networks, Supply chain, Supply chain collaboration
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics Production Engineering, Human Work Science and Ergonomics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:his:diva-18259DOI: 10.1016/j.omega.2011.08.009ISI: 000302990300007Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-84858752843OAI: oai:DiVA.org:his-18259DiVA, id: diva2:1403050
Available from: 2020-02-28 Created: 2020-02-28 Last updated: 2020-02-28Bibliographically approved

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Kourentzes, Nikolaos

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CiteExportLink to record
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Citation style
  • apa
  • apa-cv
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
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